Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.280834 3.473445 3.678526 3.914387 4.179756 4.471031 4.817638
2025-05-18 2.967656 3.224925 3.512915 3.863347 4.284229 4.781742 5.427762
2025-05-25 2.682784 2.968729 3.300402 3.721220 4.253005 4.921254 5.858722
2025-06-01 2.494365 2.802803 3.171642 3.657307 4.300584 5.158460 6.462670
2025-06-08 2.350934 2.676104 3.075266 3.618408 4.369571 5.430443 7.182759
2025-06-15 2.250133 2.592160 3.022409 3.626602 4.498875 5.806733 8.177660
2025-06-22 2.129979 2.474068 2.914355 3.546712 4.488956 5.968137 8.863064
2025-06-29 2.011687 2.350506 2.789416 3.430280 4.408098 5.998756 9.313651
2025-07-06 1.924892 2.262826 2.706212 3.364946 4.395928 6.140436 10.052908
2025-07-13 1.902578 2.258467 2.735122 3.463783 4.654295 6.813741 12.391588
2025-07-20 1.865029 2.230840 2.728827 3.507863 4.827156 7.370948 14.921660
2025-07-27 1.832776 2.208236 2.727413 3.558140 5.016715 8.016997 18.536693
2025-08-03 1.786041 2.167985 2.704724 3.584200 5.190072 8.747538 24.346395
2025-08-10 1.729598 2.111637 2.655340 3.563259 5.275195 9.319194 31.719148
2025-08-17 1.654990 2.026279 2.557982 3.454280 5.172116 9.370078 36.237212
2025-08-24 1.601294 1.968663 2.499583 3.407160 5.189891 9.782979 48.173910
2025-08-31 1.556112 1.921321 2.454156 3.378503 5.242719 10.339439 73.574991
2025-09-07 1.523367 1.890529 2.432360 3.389289 5.383724 11.279457 187.076657
2025-09-14 1.475440 1.835436 2.369552 3.320917 5.335608 11.532349 504.462801
2025-09-21 1.423224 1.772245 2.291239 3.218976 5.196930 11.386147 1330.414554
2025-09-28 1.383685 1.726609 2.238935 3.161666 5.157337 11.639381 NaN
2025-10-05 1.377022 1.729560 2.264100 3.250216 5.485235 13.755724 NaN
2025-10-12 1.360684 1.717173 2.263587 3.289765 5.700895 15.665792 NaN